SAR.AX breaks key support level
Saracen Mineral (SAR.AX) Technical Analysis Report for Jul 13, 2018
SAR.AX finished the week -1.4% lower at 2.11 after losing A$0.05 (-2.31%) today on low volume. The bears were in full control today, moving the market lower throughout the whole session. Closing within the previous day's range, prices failed to decisively move past the prior day's trading range. Ending with a weak close near the low of the day sets a bearish note for the next session.
Friday's trading range was A$0.08 (3.69%), that's slightly above last trading month's daily average range of A$0.07. Things look different on a weekly scale, where volatility is below the markets average with the monthly volatility being slightly below average.
After trading as low as 2.10 during the day, Saracen Mineral bounced off the key support level at 2.10. The failure to close below the support might increase that levels importance as support going forward. Breaking below the key support level at 2.15 today, it is now likely to act as resistance going forward. After having been unable to move above 2.18 in the previous session, the stock ran into sellers again around the same price level today, failing to move higher than 2.18. After spiking up to 2.18 during the day, the share found resistance at the 20-day moving average at 2.18.
Though the market is currently in a short-term down trend, this could just be a correction, as the medium and long term trends are both positive. SAR.AX broke below the 50-day moving average at 2.13 today for the first time since July 10th.
Selling might accelerate should prices move below the close-by swing low at 2.10 where further sell stops could get activated. As prices are trading close to July's high at 2.21, upside momentum might speed up should Saracen Mineral mark new highs for the month.
While classical technical analysis indicates a bearish sentiment for the next trading day, our quantitative statistics show a different picture being slightly bullish.
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