DJU dominated by bulls lifting the market higher throughout the day
Dow Jones Utility Average Index (DJU) Technical Analysis Report for Feb 14, 2020 | by Techniquant Editorial Team
Moving higher for the 2nd day in a row, DJU ended the week 2.52% higher at 955.35 after surging $7.97 (0.84%) today ahead of tomorrow's Presidents' Day market holiday. Today's close at 955.35 marks the highest recorded closing price ever. The bulls were in full control today, moving the market higher throughout the whole session. Ending with a strong close near the high of the day sets a bullish note for the next session.
Daily Candlestick Chart (DJU as at Feb 14, 2020):
Friday's trading range has been $8.19 (0.86%), that's slightly below the last trading month's daily average range of $8.70. Things look different on the weekly timeframe, where the market's trading range of the last week has been above the market's average weekly trading range. The longer-term, monthly volatility is currently lower than usual for DJU.
One bullish candlestick pattern matches today's price action, the White Candle.
Crossing above the upper Bollinger Band for the first time since January 24th, prices have shown unusually strong upward momentum in the short-term. This might either indicate a potential buying climax after which prices could head back down towards the mean of the Bollinger Bands at 933.62 or signal the beginning of a strong momentum breakout leading to even higher prices. The last time prices broke out above the upper Bollinger Band on January 14th, DJU gained 1.56% on the following trading day.
The trend is clearly bullish, showing an intact uptrend in the short, medium and long-term.
Among the nine market conditions that our pattern recognition engine identified today, the statistics for the Price Action based market condition "Close near high of period" stand out. Its common bullish interpretation has been confirmed for Dow Util.. Out of 735 times, DJU closed higher 54.83% of the time on the next trading day after the market condition occurred. The optimal exit for swing trading this condition on the long side has been after 10 trading days, showing a win rate of 57.82% with an average market move of 0.34%.