SVXY closes higher for the 4th day in a row

ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures (SVXY) Technical Analysis Report for Jul 02, 2020 | by Techniquant Editorial Team


SVXY rises to highest close since June 10th
SVXY fails to close above 50-day moving average
SVXY closes higher for the 4th day in a row


Moving higher for the 4th day in a row, SVXY ended Thursday at 32.24 gaining $0.28 (0.88%) ahead of tomorrow's Independence Day OBS market holiday. Today's close at 32.24 marks the highest recorded closing price since June 10th.

Daily Candlestick Chart (SVXY as at Jul 02, 2020):

Daily technical analysis candlestick chart for ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures (SVXY) as at Jul 02, 2020

Thursday's trading range has been $0.76 (2.33%), that's below the last trading month's daily average range of $1.32. Weekly volatility is also lower, being slightly below the market's average weekly trading range. The longer-term, monthly volatility is currently slightly higher than usual for SVXY.

After spiking up to 32.85 during the day, the market found resistance at the 50-day moving average at 32.73. The last time this happened on September 11, 2019, SVXY actually gained 1.25% on the following trading day.

Although still in a long-term downtrend, the short and medium-term trends both turned bullish already.

Among the four market conditions that our pattern recognition engine identified today, the statistics for the Price Action based market condition "4 Consecutive Higher Closes" stand out. Its common bullish interpretation has been confirmed for ProShares Short. Out of 108 times, SVXY closed higher 63.89% of the time on the next trading day after the market condition occurred. The optimal exit for swing trading this condition on the long side has been after 10 trading days, showing a win rate of 60.19% with an average market move of 1.99%.

Market Conditions for SVXY as at Jul 02, 2020

Loading Market Conditions for SVXY (ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures)...
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