BTCJPY closes above its opening price after recovering from early selling pressure
Bitcoin/Japanese Yen Index (BTCJPY) Technical Analysis Report for Oct 13, 2018
BTCJPY finished Saturday at 695089.01 losing ¥600.78 (-0.09%) on low volume. Trading up to ¥3157.51 lower after the open, the cryptocurrency managed to reverse during the session as bulls took control ending the day above its opening price. Closing within the previous day's range, prices missed to decisively move beyond the prior day's trading range in a lackluster session.
Daily Candlestick Chart (BTCJPY as at Oct 13, 2018):
Saturday's trading range has been ¥6255.11 (0.9%), that's below the last trading month's daily average range of ¥17737.97. Things look different on the weekly timeframe, where the market's trading range of the last week has been above the market's average weekly trading range. The longer-term, monthly volatility is currently slightly higher than usual for BTCJPY.
During the whole day, prices traded within the previous day's range, unable to trade above the prior day's high or below the previous day's low forming an Inside Bar. Additionally, two candlestick patterns are matching today's price action, the Southern Doji which is known as bullish pattern and one neutral pattern, the Doji. The last time a Southern Doji showed up on September 19th, BTCJPY gained 2.17% on the following trading day.
Prices are trading close to the key technical support level at 687916.58 (S1).
With another close below the lower Bollinger Band, prices are confirming their strong downward momentum in the short-term. A rally back into the Bollinger Band on the next trading day though might signal a potential change in momentum that could lead to a correction back up towards the center of the Bollinger Bands at 734318.25.
The trend is clearly bearish, showing an intact downtrend in the short, medium and long-term.
Among the five market conditions that our pattern recognition engine identified today, the statistics for the OHLC Patterns based market condition "Doji" stand out. Although it is usually interpreted as neutral, it has actually shown to be bullish for BTC/JPY. Out of 137 times, BTCJPY closed higher 62.77% of the time on the next trading day after the market condition occurred. The optimal exit for swing trading this condition on the long side has been after 10 trading days, showing a win rate of 59.85% with an average market move of 9.45%.
With five out of the seven Major Cryptocurrencies closing higher today, the ones that stand out on the positive side are DASHUSD gaining 1.97% and ETHUSD closing 1.6% higher. On the flipside the worst performer has been XRPUSD closing -0.38% lower. Looking at the other Minor Cryptocurrencies, the winners of the day have been STEEMBTC surging 5.26% and SCBTC closing 4.08% higher. The worst performers of the day have been BCNUSD tanking -4.43% and BTGBTC closing -2.26% lower...read more