BCHUSD dominated by bulls lifting the market higher throughout the day
Bitcoin Cash/US Dollar Index (BCHUSD) Technical Analysis Report for Oct 13, 2018
Moving higher for the 2nd day in a row, BCHUSD finished Saturday at 449.58 gaining $6.56 (1.48%). The bulls were in full control today, moving the market higher throughout the whole session. Closing within the previous day's range, prices missed to decisively move beyond the prior day's trading range in a lackluster session.
Daily Candlestick Chart (BCHUSD as at Oct 13, 2018):
Saturday's trading range has been $10.83 (2.46%), that's below the last trading month's daily average range of $36.21. Things look different on the weekly timeframe, where the market's trading range of the last week has been slightly above the market's average weekly trading range. The longer-term, monthly volatility is currently slightly lower than usual for BCHUSD.
During the whole day, prices traded within the previous day's range, unable to trade above the prior day's high or below the previous day's low forming an Inside Bar. Additionally, two candlestick patterns are matching today's price action, the Bullish Short Candle and the White Candle which are both known as bullish patterns. The last time a White Candle showed up on October 8th, BCHUSD actually lost -1.92% on the following trading day.
After having been unable to move above 455.03 in the prior session, BCH ran into sellers again around the same price level today, failing to move higher than 451.11.
The trend is clearly bearish, showing an intact downtrend in the short, medium and long-term.
Selling might speed up should prices move below the close-by swing low at 426.12 where further sell stops could get triggered. With prices trading close to this year's low at 408.46, downside momentum might accelerate should the market break out to new lows for the year.
Among the eight market conditions that our pattern recognition engine identified today, the statistics for the OHLC Patterns based market condition "Bullish Short Candle" stand out. While it is usually interpreted as bullish, it has actually shown to be bearish for BCH/USD. Out of 16 times, BCHUSD closed lower 75.00% of the time on the next trading day after the market condition occurred. The optimal exit for swing trading this condition on the short side has been after nine trading days, showing a win rate of 43.75% with an average market move of -0.05%.
With four out of the other six Major Cryptocurrencies closing higher today, the ones that stand out on the positive side are DASHUSD gaining 1.97% and ETHUSD closing 1.6% higher. On the flipside the worst performer has been XRPUSD closing -0.38% lower. Looking at the Minor Cryptocurrencies, the winners of the day have been STEEMBTC surging 5.26% and SCBTC closing 4.08% higher. The worst performers of the day have been BCNUSD tanking -4.43% and BTGBTC closing -2.26% lower...read more